← CoreTCG Mortal Ambition Regional Championship

Wind Astra ClericTier 1

at CoreTCG Mortal Ambition Regional Championship

decks
6 (6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
30 10-10-10
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
56.7% avg ELO +2.4 per match
expected value
47.8% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1244 · median 1238 · range 1204–1283 (6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1005 Q1 1171 Q3 1403 1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 12.2% 3 0-1-2 33.3% 42.9% 46.9% -2.3
Water Penguin Mill 10.0% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 39.3% -10.3
Water Ravishing Mill 8.9% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 57.5% +5.6
Fire Aggro 6.7% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.1% +0.2
Fire Crux Mage 5.6% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 61.8% +11.3
Wind Allies 5.6% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 47.8% -1.6
Water Allies 4.4% 3 1-1-1 50.0% 50.0% 52.3% +1.7
Wind Shadowstrike 4.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 60.2% +16.3
Fire Exia 3.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 58.6% +13.8
Water Silvie 3.3% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.1% +0.1
Water Tera Mage 3.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 59.7% +15.6
Wind Luxem Zander 3.3% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 46.5% -3.4
Fire Slimes 2.2% 2 1-0-1 75.0% 58.3% 54.8% +4.6
Water Crux Mage 2.2% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 2.2% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 42.8% -11.5
Fire Arcane 1.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 54.1% +6.6
Fire Neos 1.1% 0
Fire Ravishing Mill 1.1% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 62.6% +20.2
Fire Umbra Ranger 1.1% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 47.5% -4.0
Water Arisanna 1.1% 0
Water Exia 1.1% 0
Water Fractal 1.1% 0
Water Umbra Diana 1.1% 0
Wind Crux Lorraine 1.1% 0
Wind Crux Mage 1.1% 0
Wind Exia 1.1% 0
Wind Neos 1.1% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 51.0% +1.6
Wind Razorgale 1.1% 0
Wind Slice & Dice 1.1% 0
Decklists · 6 from this event
Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 16 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 16 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Barter Herbs -1.00 0 1 0
Mnemonic Charm +1.00 1 0 0
Astral Seal -1.00 0 1 0
Heavenly Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Backup Charger -1.00 0 1 0
Harvest Herbs -1.00 0 1 0
Turbo Charge -1.00 0 1 0
Scry the Skies -1.00 0 1 0
Lunar Conduit +1.00 1 0 0
Safeguard Amulet +1.00 1 0 0
Tariff Ring -1.00 0 1 0
Zephyr +1.00 1 0 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 1 0 0
Three Visits +1.00 1 0 0
Indolent Leisure +1.00 1 0 0
Cometfall +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/15367/archetypes/Wind Astra Cleric